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January 10, 2006
MAX LUCADO
Live on CFRN - Thursday January
12, 2006 @ 10:00AM EST
![]() With more than 39 million books sold worldwide, Max Lucado has touched millions with his signature storytelling writing style. Awards and accolades follow Max with each book he writes. Max is the first author to win the Gold Medallion Christian Book of the Year three times—1999 for Just Like Jesus, 1997 for In the Grip of Grace and 1995 for When God Whispers Your Name. In 1994, he became the only author to have 11 of his twelve books in print simultaneously appear on paperback, hardcover and children's CBA bestseller lists. Lucado set a new industry record by concurrently placing nine different Word Publishing titles on the CBA Hardcover Bestseller List in both March and April 1997. Max Lucado is a fixture on the national bestseller lists – a Max Lucado title has appeared on the CBA hardcover bestseller list every month for the past eight years. He has appeared on the Publishers Weekly, USA Today and New York Times bestseller lists. His newest book, Come Thirsty, was released in October 2004, and Next Door Savior recently won a Gold Medallion award in the Inspirational category. In addition to his nonfiction books, Lucado has authored several award-winning children's titles including , Just In Case You Ever Wonder, The Crippled Lamb, Alabaster's Song. and the award-winning You Are Special. His most recent effort based on You Are Special is entitled, Punchinello and His Most Marvelous Gift. Max is also the author of Hermie: A Common Caterpillar, as well as a number of subsequent works based on Hermie. He also served as the general editor for the best-selling Devotional Bible and God's Inspirational Promise Book. Max
serves as the pulpit minister of the
Oak
Hills Church in San Antonio, Texas. But he says his greatest
accomplishment is finding a one-in-a-million wife in Denalyn and
having three unbelievable daughters: Jenna, Andrea, and Sara.
We will be discussing his latest book -
"Cure for the Common Life", and answering YOUR questions.
Not so very long ago, we were the subject of more than a few
abusive posts on some of the message boards. I recall one post
in particular that ridiculed us for issuing Press Releases on
behalf of Azco Mining. To be quite honest, at the time, Azco
needed every dime they had to continue operations and fund Dr.
Carson's quest for the proverbial "Pot O' Gold" at the end of
the rainbow. Press Releases aren't free, and Dr. Carson
excercised extreme wisdom in his expenditure of company
resources. We had faith in Dr. Carson and his vision for Azco
Mining, and as investors with the courage to stand by our
convictions, we reached into our own pockets on many occasions
to keep shareholders abreast of our strong belief that Azco was
indeed "the most undervalued asset on planet earth".
Those who made fun of us then, perhaps are of a slightly
different opinion today. When we identify an undervalued company
with explosive upside potential and Christian men and women at
the helm, we have no problem doing all that is within our power
to see that company succeed. We were never compensated in any
manner for those expenditures, nor did we wish to be. We never
accept cash, stock, warrants or the promise thereof to profile
or promote any comapny. Our support cannot be bought, it can
only be earned. Dr. Carson and Mr. Olson did exactly that.
Through their dedication, integrity, and hard work, we knew we
had a wining combination on our hands.
The fact that those who stood with us through the darkest of
times, have now seen their initial investment increase by 1400%
is a testimony of faith, the goodness of God, and all the reward
we require or desire. That's what Christian Traders is all
about, creating a level playing field for you - the Christian
Investor. Together, we are indeed creating great wealth for the
purpose of building God's Kingdom, here on earth. I salute each
and every one of you!
As 2006 Dawns...
Is the World really running out of Gold ?
With 2005 Gold production reportedly at its
lowest production levels in almost a Century: The evidence
is highly compelling:
The deep and once very gold-rich South
African Mines are mined out - Some say Australia is also
tapped out - US remains prospective as a growing annual
demand to supply deficit estimated at 1,220 tons cannot be
sustained indefinitely by banks. According to the US
Geological Survey USGS, they anticipate only 50,000 tons of
Gold available for future recovery, another alarming
statistic that could soon inspire panic buying as
we're consuming Gold at a rate of 3,760 tpa, with just 13
years left!
Gold values have been rising for 5 years in a
row and since September 2005 have been soaring, reflecting a
variety of fears that include the possibility that within 2
or 3 decades, the World could run out of mineable Gold.
The most precious of all metals that for thousands of years
has been the ultimate store of wealth and legend of Gold
rushes and mining bonanzas in times past as new discoveries
continued have continued to be made, may finally be
reaching finite limits of production and sustainable output.
In recent years sharply awakening revelations that demand
for Gold may already be outstripping supply by as much
as 1,500 tons per annum is a stunning dimensional statistic
that in of itself, is a truly alarming wake-up call as to
the future availability of Gold in a World where
speculation, hoarding and profiteering, now only just
beginning, could run rampant... The almost
unbelievable possibility that the World could really run out
of mineable resources even within 20 or so years, places a
huge premium on any proven resource of One Million ounces or
more, let alone 2 ~ 5 Million ounces plus and so, with
the latest report last month that Azco Mining Inc's Ortiz
Gold Deposit contains 1 Million ounces ready to mine...
Valuing
Azco's Outstanding Feasibility
- Ortiz Gold Project
Quick Valuation by savvy accountant who was sought after
by one of the richest families in the US
to account their fortune:
1. It looks to me based on a quick valuation calculation that
the gold component of Azco Mining Inc is worth $6.37 per share
as follows:
2. Pre-Tax profit
after capital costs, operating costs, refining, royalties
and depreciation is estimated to be around $18 Million per
year.
3. After-tax profit (assuming a 40% corporate rate and no net operating loss) estimated at $10.8 Million yr + $25 Million for tax losses.
As 2006
unfolds: How many stocks can you genuinely identify as being
at least 7 times undervalued? Just as Google rose against
all odds because it keeps on getting more valuable, so too
Azco Mining AZMN keeps adding value and looks set to add a
whole lot more...
Just taking into account the 1.03 Million ounce open pit Carache and Lucas Canyon deposits and utilizing a very conservative estimated market cap using a P/E of 23.6 (the Yahoo average for gold stocks) is estimated to be 254.88 mil, but that does not take into account the potential 30% improvement in grades that would raise the value to $330 Million not including significant tax losses and would raise the share price value to $8.28 and still does not take into account the valuation of Ortiz's additional 1 Million ounces of proven Gold that potentially would carry a similar up to $6.37 valuation, with the possibility that it too could be the subject of quite signficantly higher grades of perhaps even greater than 30%, given there are already significant previous indications of much higher grades underground.
That
could put the entire Ortiz value alone at up to $16.50 per
share, without any of the additional exploration upside
expected factored in, but that's not all, while the average
P/E or 23.6 might be the norm for now, in a World of soaring
Gold that could be much higher and in the case of Place Dome
Gold PDG, currently under offer at a premium price, the P/E
ratio is close to 100, which would put AZMN's share price on
just the 1.03 Million at around $35 per share and thus could
potentially value the entire project at more than $50 per sh.
Add
to that the recent $300 Million acquisition of Azco's rare
Micaceaous Iron Oxide MIO deposit worth about $5 per share
currently but using the same accounting formulas above,
could potentially make it even more valuable than the 1.03
Million ounce Ortiz Gold deposit.
And
now finally factoring in the World Class Mica and
Feldspathic sand deposit, already independently appraised at
between $167 and $212 Million and its potential to produce
similar cash flows to the 1 Million ounce Ortiz deposit at
up to $60 Million per year, but with its
value enhanced Mica, could see potential revenues in excess
of $100 Million per year of this project and exceedingly
high margin value.
It
is becoming increasingly evident that Azco Mining Inc AZMN will
be a lot more than the sum of its parts as it acquires
new properties. It should also be borne in mind
that if the average price of Gold over the next 10
years were to be as high as $750 ~ $1000, then it could
potentially add anywhere from $250 Million on the low end to
$1.5 Billion net on the high end to the value. 2009 Gold
already hit $600+. When indices or markets like Gold
rise multiple years in a row, they have a very strong
tendency to explode as much as 100% higher.
Throughout our
lifetimes the mantra has become, especially since 9/11:
Expect the unexpected. So, expect the World to run out of
gold as the prognosis for Gold prices to rise to as high as
$3,704 by 2019 would still equal only half of the gain in
gold throughout the 1970's.
The most famous
line In Sidney Sheldon's legendary novel and mini-series:
"Master of the Game" - "By their ineptitude, they handed me
a fortune": In a way can be re-defined as the Ortiz Land
Grant being handed to Azco Mining Inc's shareholders... Due
to oversight by some and a series of blunders by other
decision makers past following $40 Million plus
expenditure on Ortiz - They handed us a fortune:
For what it's worth
a $1.5 Billion Additional Net Value for Azco's Gold
alone would alone value this issue well in excess of $30 per
share. Does all this make Azco Mining Inc AZMN a likely
takeover target? Most probably now yes. Such undervaluedness
is highly compelling, but imagine if Azco management makes
good on its intentions to acquire additional properties as
disclosed in recent press releases...?
Azco Mining Inc
already announced an additional new acquisition, already
conservatively valued more than $5 per share or $300
Million. Remember Azco's Mission Statement that the company
has not only continued to execute on but has continually
delivered per dictum, with the spectacular acquisition of
the legendary Ortiz Land Grant that is turning out to be
a 57,267 acre deposit of awesome potential...
Mission Statement
"I intend to redirect the strategic future of this company
to include identification and acquisition of high quality
Announcing positive results for the Ortiz feasibility Dr
Pierce Carson, CEO, stated, "We are extremely pleased to be
able to announce outstanding results, especially at a time
when current gold prices, at a 25-year high, have created an
exciting and very positive climate for the Company and its
future prospects. MAG's study shows that at today's gold
prices the Carache and Lucas deposits, which contain over
1.0 Million ounces of gold, would form the basis of a very
attractive and economically viable open cut mining
operation. At a gold price of $500 per ounce, the project
would produce cash flow totaling $180.9 million over ten
years, after payment of all costs."
The in-depth Ortiz
Feasibility Study was conducted by Minerals Advisory Group -
MAG is a well-known and highly respected firm whose
principals have a combined experience of over 300 years in
mining and related industries. MAG specializes in providing
technical and financial advisories, appraisals, and merger
and acquisition assistance to mining companies, financial
institutions and governments.
In reviewing the
results Dr. Carson stated, "As attractive as these economics
are, we can see significant additional upside in a number of
areas. Importantly, MAG's study concluded there is a strong
possibility that the gold grades and contained number of
ounces have been significantly understated. This conclusion
is based on reports by previous companies involved in the
project and by an independent review conducted by a firm
that specializes in resource estimation. That firm concluded
that the actual grade could be up to 30% higher. An
improvement in grade of this magnitude would have a truly
dramatic effect on the project's already very attractive
economics.
"As the next step, Azco intends to further investigate the additional upside of the Ortiz project, including the likelihood of higher grades in the drilled resource and the potential to further improve the project's economics by mining to a higher cut-off grade. There also is very significant upside at Ortiz related to possible extensions of the known Carache and Lucas resources, and also related to other promising prospects and exploration targets within the huge 90 square mile area under our control." In Summary Some retrospective perceptions may be in order here to understand that attaining these real valuation levels takes time. Back in Dec 99 when Headwaters NASDAQ - HDWR and now NYSE HW was first identified and highlighted for its undervaluedness at $0.50 ~ $0.70 c per share, just as AZMN was recently, Headwaters did not look like a bankable prospect - Its 10 K looked so terrible you wouldn't have wanted to touch this one with a barge pole and yet the value was there as was a brilliant CEO with a sterling record for turnarounds and creating value. That value like Azco today was arguably well in excess of $1 Billion extrapolating out Headwaters potential and in just 5 and a half years, Headwaters would go on to soar 9,500% from its lows of 50 cents a stunning half decade gain by any Wall St measure and today, HW has a Billion Dollar market capitalization and revenues of 1 Billion and is the 2nd fastest growing company in the US. Azco in comparison has many similarities to Headwaters, especially in having similar sized gross in-ground reserves well in excess of $1 Billion and a CEO with an astonishing record of exploration successes and discoveries that could be without historical equal. The rate at which Azco Mining Inc is adding value to its mining portfolio is nothing short of breathtaking and this bodes very well for its future. Azco has a CEO that has started two major Gold producing mines virtually from scratch to full production and eventual sale and not too many people possess the capabilities to do that... So it is gratifying to know that the Ortiz Project has an enviable 1 Million Ounces that is essentially ready to start Gold production at the rate of 100,000 ounces per year and as much as 83,000 ounces of Silver annually, some Platinum also. This could be worth as much as $25 ~ $30 Million net at current and future Gold prices easily valuing AZMN at $10 per share just for this property alone, at a conservative 20 times earnings, but at current 50 times earnings average that would be $25. The fact is, Azco Mining Inc is no longer a speculation, but a business proposition. In the most conservative sense it is fairly safe to say that at a net $250 Million valuation based on the higher than expected grades indicated in MAG's definitive Engineering Study Report, and not accounting for current Gold prices ranging from $515 to $600 plus Gold prices already available in outer months for long term future delivery, it is fairly clear, that just based on the Ortiz 1 Million ounces alone and not accounting for the 2nd Million ounce deposit or any of the other assets, a realistic valuation for Azco's ready to mine million ounce deposit would be roughly $250 Million at current Gold levels. Therefore, the entire 2 Million ounces, along with increased grades equating to a 30% improvement, would actually value Ortiz's known and proven reserves of Gold at well over $500 Million or 10 times the current value of Azco. This is not fantasy. This is real value and therefore any businessman who has the reserves or even another Gold company, would have to recognize that buying Azco today, just as buying Headwaters in December 1999 has equal if not greater potential to deliver HW type returns at HDWR growth rates. This is a no-brainer - It is bound to happen sooner or later as the value is clearly there and if Gold prices soar, it'll simply happen faster. Finally - Any fund manager worth his salt, knowing of Azco six months ago, should have been hell bent on trying to buy this company, lock, stock and barrel. That is also a no-brainer in that judging by the fact that AZMN has already risen 1,000% fully endorses this logic. But, let's say they only discovered Azco 4 or 5 press releases ago, reading between the lines of the increasing power of the real story behind Azco: A savvy fund manager would have told his team to start buying and don't stop until we own all we can. Another no-brainer. Now if you think I have been blowing smoke about how high Gold prices could go, read this and remember where you read it all first... From renowned analyst Eric Hommelberg with occasional inserts for clarification In my piece 'Junior Festival 2006' which we would more liken to the coming Junior Mining Bonanza, Part 1 focused on the technical setup for the juniors in 2006. As explained the setup is phenomenal and some very serious gains are in the pipeline this year for those juniors succeeding in making discoveries. Well, we didn't have to wait for that long before the festival to start this year, since the gold price exploded on the very first trading day of 2006 thereby launching gold shares including even the majors into new highs. The HUI Amex Gold Index clocked its single biggest day gain ever and has since set new all time record highs, thereby leaving investors waiting for a correction since early December in a mental state of sadness. So after all, it's been a perfect start for the gold shares. Besides the phenomenal technical setup, there are some fundamentals in play which are extraordinarily bullish for the best of these junior shares as well. Especially those juniors making discoveries will be making headlines this year for sure. Now why is that? What on earth makes these discoveries so important? This report examines the need for new major discoveries and what it can do to your bank-account. As John Brigde (senior gold
analyst JP Morgan) said... Can you imagine what may be going on behind the scenes at Azco Mining with CEO Dr W Pierce Carson's stellar record in the mining industry and one of the most prolific and successful explorationists of our time with a historical record almost with out equal and on top of that the enormous upside potential the Ortiz Gold deposit might hold...? After the puny assets of PGDP, ECPN and even USGL none of which yet have proven reserves, AZMN has more inground proven reserves than all 3 of these companies combined worth $10 a share.
If you think about it... What Rob
McEwan has done is place some heavy diversified bets around the
traps. What W. Pierce Carson has done, is to place a huge bet on
what he knows best and where he can exercise quality control and
ensure a highly successful outcome. About Azco Mining Inc Azco Mining Inc. is a U.S.-based mining and exploration enterprise with an emphasis on gold, copper and industrial minerals. In 2004 the Company acquired mineral rights to approximately 90 square miles of mineral estate at the Ortiz gold property in New Mexico, where pre-1990 exploration and development work costing $40 million identified 2 million ounces of gold. Azco also owns and operates the Black Canyon mica deposit in Arizona, which contains a large resource of mica and by-product feldspathic sand. Recently the Company also acquired lease and purchase rights to a world-class deposit of micaceous iron oxide in Arizona, which constitutes a rare domestic source of this material used in coatings to protect structural steelwork against corrosion. The information contained herein regarding risks and uncertainties, which may differ materially from those set forth in these statements, in addition to the economic, competitive, governmental, technological and other factors, constitutes a "forward-looking statement" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and is subject to the safe harbors created thereby. While the company believes that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking information are reasonable, any of the assumptions could prove inaccurate and, therefore, there can be no assurance that the forward-looking information will prove to be accurate. Accordingly, there may be differences between the actual results and the predicted results, and actual results may be materially higher or lower than those indicated in the forward-looking information contained herein. The valuations are opinions based on proven in-ground reserves of Gold.
GOD'S KINGDOM
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purpose of building God's Kingdom. How does is feel to
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THE HUB
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data for all those involved in the NSS issue. All research,
facts, documents and evidence can be emailed to
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Investigates - 911 W Woodland Ave - Phoenix AZ 85007.
Documents may be faxed to
602-252-4903.
Blessings
CT for CFRN
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