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Investment Intelligence
Research
Azco Mining Inc - AZMN - Update
AZMN $1 ~ $100 Case Expounded
August 10 2006 Press
Release Azco Mining Becomes Current in Financial Reporting:
"We are
highly optimistic about our Future"
President and CEO - Dr W Pierce
Carson - Azco Mining Inc
Can a Gold stock rise from $1.00 per
share to $100 plus by the end of this decade, or next? You be
the judge:
Anatomy of a Bull Market in
the Making - For Both Gold Mining & Resource Issues:
Every once in a while, at least
twice in each generation, we have a Resources Boom, and a Gold
Mining Mania.
And, during such times it is possible to make an immense amount
of money as Gold related issues tend to rise geometrically and
often by a factor of many times the increase in Gold itself. Add
to that a growing shortage and the very real possibility the
World is running out of Gold, Silver and a host of other
valuable resources and we have a recipe in the making for
possibly the greatest resources boom of all time to unfold and
when small companies can identify, acquire and build awesomely
valuable inground assets and begin to monetize them in the
process, then increasing cash flows, combined with increasing
values can lead to truly staggering riches...
The most important
thing to understand is: This can not only really happen, but
could exceed all expectations. Deciding to invest in any company
takes courage, as it is often hard to see ahead of time the
potential strong increase in values that can sometimes occur,
without warning. In December 1999, when we first highlighted
Headwaters Inc HDWR - HW at its low of 50 cents, it was hard to
foresee it rising to $45 upwards of 9,500% in just over 5 years,
but we knew it had Billions in assets and a capable CEO, which
is why we went out on a limb.
In the case of
Azco Mining Inc., the longer term visibility is 20/20 compared
to what one could foresee for HW back then: And now, with great
prospect of significant Gold production looming, Azco's values
are compelling especially with the prospect that a Nasdaq or
Amex listing, could be in the offing in the not too distant
future... To give some idea of how AZMN could potentially run up
to near HW's all time high of $45, PEIX Pacific Ethanol Inc
recently ran to $44 on prospects of earning 45c psh next year.
Azco could earn similar numbers in 18 mos.
We are reminded of
one of Azco's largest shareholders, who holds the distinction of
managing to acquire one million shares of a company that
subsequently rose to $50 within five years and 947 within 10
years: To never ever underestimate, how high any company's stock
price can trade and never to limit one's potential. And, as an
example of yet another instance, this same investor had invested
in a metals company with a very similar pattern and behavior as
Azco and some of his colleagues, who invested with him, did not
have the tenacity to see this company trade up to its full
potential. Like Azco, it traded briefly below $1 on a few
occasions only to suddenly take off and run to $9.40, where
those who held, were able to sell for staggering gains. Such may
be a similar fate, that at a minimum awaits Azco. Since Azco
could be producing between 250,000 to 300,000 ozs of Gold within
as little as 3 years or by round the end of this decade with
multiple World class mining projects, potential cash flows could
run well into the hundreds of millions putting Azco on a par
with HW or even higher and render it a rare 100,000 percenter
off its '05 lows. Below we outline a strategy that could take
Azco there.
Can lightning
strike twice? Another of Azco's largest shareholders is said to
have parlayed $40,000 into some $20 Million in 1999-2000. Being
in the company of such highly successful investors, who between
them own almost 15 % of Azco, are they seeing another home run
in Azco, potentially as dramatic as their earlier wins?
We certainly think
so and offer some of the background as to why we see Azco as an
uncommon opportunity and why perhaps these 7 major milestones
below, can set AZMN on a path to mining greatness, conglomeracy
and an eventual $100 share price. Such a high objective may
depend on $1,000 - $2,000 Gold being achieved and also
considering the possibility that Silver could soon trade at $25
oz, Azco's Summit Silver output would actually double,
projecting substantial revenues approaching $80 Million, but
what could really put Azco over the top, would be 2 or 3 more
acquisitions reaching 10 milestones, thus adding sufficient
value to justify $100.
KEY OBJECTIVE #1
Summit Silver Gold Revenues
WITH POTENTIAL CASHFLOWS EXPECTED TO $40 MILLION OR 60 Cents Per
Share at AZCO'S NEW SUMMIT PROPERTY COULD VALUE AZCO AT $20+
ALONE AT AN AVGE PE OF 34
KEY OBJECTIVE
#2
New Acquisitions Building to 5 Million Oz Gold in Reserves
KEY
ACHIEVEMENT #1
Estimated $3.3 Billion in-ground Assets or $50 p sh
Azco Mining Inc - An Uncommon Opportunity to acquire a broad
based resources enterprise
with potential for many
NEW ACQUISITIONS STILL LIKELY W/ DEC ' 06 GOLD $650
Values 1.5 M Oz Gold Silver+Cu $735 M Net or $9.85 per sh
2nd Million Oz Gold+Copper could hold $455 M Plus Addtnl Valuing
Azco's Net Gold Reserves towards $15.86 pr share Total Gross
Assets Gold Silver Copper $2.1B - $27.50 pr sh
KEY
ACHIEVEMENT #2
The acquisition May 9 '06 of the $250 M Summit Silver Gold
Deposit, may turn out to be, one of the shrewdest business deals
in history essentially involving an estimated 1 Million Ozs of
Gold equivalent with tremendous upside exploration potential and
50,000 ozs pa output or $40 Million Cash flow
Longer term potential revenues of $100M: Entirely possible
KEY OBJECTIVE
#3
Acquire addtnl 100,000 oz production in '07 in attempt to boost
output upwards of 150,000 oz pa
or 100M revenues
KEY OBJECTIVE
#4
Bring on line initial 1 Million oz Ortiz Gold deposit in 2008
boost output to 250,000 oz pa:
$200 M Revenues at $800
KEY OBJECTIVE
#5
Bring on line 2nd 1 Million Oz Ortiz Gold Deposit in 2009
boosting output to 350,000 oz pa or 300 M Revs at $900
ICING ON THE
CAKE
Bringing MIO, Mica & Felthspathic Sand into full production
along with add'l newer acquisitions - Potential $400 Million or
$4 per share cash flow + $5 Bn Gold reserves = $100 psh
CONCLUSION
With so much going for Azco already and with such highly valued
in-ground assets prospect of additional acquisition + very
strong cash flows could drive shares sharply higher so that
investing in AZMN at these low levels makes sense
AZCO ASSETS + $1000 GOLD =
POWERFUL ELIXIR
Makes Azco Mining an unusual
standout opportunity with $50 per share in inground assets
adding $900 Million in just the last few months, that could go
from a standing start to $100 Million in revenues, literally
overnight?
With proven
inground reserves of Silver Copper and Gold approaching 3
Million ounces and prices begin to rise exponentially the net
added values can be truly staggering. Azco has added $900
Million in net value recently.
Just days ago,
the very thought of producing 200,000 oz Gold per annum by 2009
may have seemed remote. But not any more. Now, with a potential
Gold output of up to 150,000 oz pa, apparently within reach by
2007, the prospect of Azco having revenues in excess of $100
Million within 18 months is looking increasingly likely.
The new 1.5
Million oz above now includes 250 Million net value of the new
Summit acquisition and 1M oz Ortiz deposit, plus net recoverable
Copper. 2nd Million oz Ortiz deposit brings total net values to
$1.19 B or $15.86
Total Gross
Assets Gold Silver and Copper equal 2.1 Billion or $27.50 per
share. Grand Total 3.3 B or $50+ p sh
Perhaps the more exciting aspect of Azco's future will be, how
it executes on its acquisition agenda: Counting down the 24
identified properties that Dr. Carson has brought to Azco. With
3 done and 21 to go could this be:
A Countdown
To Investment Riches Beyond Imagination
Investment Success is the reward for
those who see the future way before others and act upon it
propitiously
We have been
unequivocally bullish on Azco and Gold for several years now and
as AZMN proves up our ideas and having already created 30
Millionaires and numerous Multimillionaires, as the Azco story
unfolds and the company gathers high momentum in the execution
of its bold agenda and in particular its aggressive plans to
significantly boost reserves through further exploration and
acquisition of 24 additionally prospective mining properties
around the World that Dr Carson has already identified, we see
its values increasing exponentially in the months and years
ahead. Investors did not initially believe us, when we predicted
Azco might rise by 1,500%. They surely believe us now. With
potential Gold reserves approaching three million ounces and
near term production of Gold fast approaching, we're making a
very strong case for Azco to not only earn as much as $1 per
share soon, but potentially within 3 years > $2 and $3 before
the end of the decade with $1000 Gold which now looks
increasingly likely as December 2010 Gold recent recorded new
all time record highs at $914. Dec 2008 Gold currently trades at
$721 and production can be sold forward at this price. Dec 2010
Gold = $800
If
Azco were to produce 200,000 oz of Gold per year by 2009, that
could equate to $130 per share at P/E of 65
Since acquiring
Azco Mining Inc AZMN's shares from under 10 cents all the way up
to today's prices, we have throughout considered AZMN to be one
of the most extremely undervalued asset plays in market history.
Its recent debut as the #1 US Mining Stock in February '06, up
2200%, tends to bear out this viewpoint. With $50 per share
total gross assets, trading at such undervalued levels today,
presents a tremendous opportunity to acquire diversified
Precious Metals and Minerals reserves with Gold Silver & Copper
assets of $27.5 per share.
Our defendable and
definitive research follows showing how AZMN's values already
increased $900 M in 2006. And, our Top Ten reasons why Gold will
likely go much higher bears out that Azco's future will likely
be Golden. There's an old Wall Street Adage: Stocks that go up
2000 percent tend to go up 5,000~10,000% in due course.
In valuing Azco as
above it is important to understand why the combination of
sharply rising Gold prices and a drastic improvement in grades,
is impacting Azco's values so very dramatically. This should be
looked at strictly as a business proposition: Cost of production
is expected to be $225 oz At $700 per oz Gold the net profit
would be $485 oz or $48 Million net annually without expected
grade improvements and 2nd million added could equate to $96M or
$1.28 pr sh
The new Summit
Silver Gold Net Valuations of $250 Million or $3.85 per share
should be added to all valuations below:
And why Azco
has to be considered extremely undervalued
Viz: Placer Dome
bought out for equivalent of a PE of 123+ Could theoretically
value Azco - AZMN at $100 per share...
"An uncommon opportunity to combine both
industrial minerals
and precious metals exposure with increasing cashflows"
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Four
"Economically Viable World Class Mining Projects" with
combined cash flow potential well in excess of 100 Million
dollars
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Exceptional
potential for additional development upside over 90 Square
Mile Ortiz lease area and patented claims at the Summit
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Highly
prospective geological potential for Gold, Silver, Copper,
Zinc and Lead discoveries at both fabled Ortiz Gold and
Summit
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A relentless
pursuit of additional assets to add value to Azco and in
particular boost Gold and Silver reserves beyond 2.5 M ozs
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Already on a
path certain countdown to becoming a significant Gold and
Silver producer with growing strong cash flow potential
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Ability to
leverage increasing cash flows into rapid development and
management of additional properties, as they come on line
Mission Statement
"I intend to redirect the strategic future of this company
to include identification and acquisition
of high quality Gold, Silver and Copper resources".
Strategic Agenda and
Timeline
Exploration -
Acquisitions - Production
"I believe the next several months will
be an exciting time in the precious metals sector, and an
exciting time for Azco as it builds its precious metals asset
base and heads toward a production profile. We welcome you,
thank you for your patience and trust and reiterate our
intention to monetize these projects in due time". "Through
strategic acquisitions using its proven experience and expertise
in mining and markets, Azco's aim is to enhance shareholder
value and build a strong cash-flow driven resource company with
significant sustainable annual revenues over the next few
years".
Dr. W. Pierce Carson
President and CEO
Azco Mining Inc
With the recent revelation on
joining Azco Dr Carson bought with him a bounty of 24 potential
acquisitions (see below resume) These are not trophy's and we
certainly believe he'll waste no time in building Azco into a
mining conglomerate.
Could Dr Carson be
the most underestimated CEO in America today? We believe so.
While investors may bid up prices of promising precious metals
plays, often with no proven reserves to speak of: Serious
investors focus on what is in the ground and what it will be
worth in the future. Azco currently possesses independently
verified in-ground Gold, Silver, Copper, Feldspathic Sand, Mica
and Iron Oxide assets totaling $3.3 billion or over $50 per
share in monetizable assets.
The difference
between Azco's CEO and many others who may not yet possess
proven reserves is Dr Carson has a truly amazing record of
discoveries and identifications of viable economic resources and
has turned deserts into Gold mines...
"In August 2003,
Dr W Pierce Carson (see bio), decided to return home to the US,
after developing more overseas Gold mines than any other
individual in history, from prospector data to ingot. Dr Carson
was very familiar with Sierra Nevada minerals claims and that is
in essence, how Azco came to inherit the fabled Ortiz Gold Land
Grant, passed down over many generations. In noting the immense
inground reserves and potential of Azco's Felthspathic Sand &
Mica Deposits, Dr Carson became CEO of Azco, rather than vie for
absentee mine owners". Over the past 2 1/2 years, Azco Mining
Inc has acquired an increasingly valuable portfolio of claims
that will yield immense value with increasing resource and metal
prices. In keeping with Azco's Mission Statement and Strategic
Agenda a decision was soon made to proceed with mine ownership
and operation, which is Dr Carson's specialty, and rather than
proffer his numerous discoveries and identified claims to other
companies, Azco entered into a secured term agreement with Dr
Carson for exclusive rights to all of the designated
acquisitions he has assigned to Azco, currently believed to
include at least 24 delineated properties, with which Dr Carson
has special relationships. The improvement in the standing of
Azco, has permitted attractive financing to be obtained, at very
favorable rates, for the purpose of developing these claims on
an as need basis. Use of funds will be to support rapid
development of the several mines within Azco, which will retain
the considerable profits in house and enhance shareholder value.
With near term production and very high metals prices, Azco's
future could be Golden...
From Humble
Beginnings... To a Great Future
Can Azco soon leverage an original $40 M to $4 Billion in
Assets?
You've seen it
happen before: Goldcorp increases its market cap from $50 M to
$10 Billion as the premier Gold producer in North America,
Headwaters goes from 10 Million to over 1 Billion in revenues
becoming the second fastest US grower.
Remember how Azco
started out...It's really an incredible story of how a little
known company went out and discovered two hugely significant
Copper deposits, selling them almost overnight to mining giant
Phelps Dodge for windfall profits of $40 Million net and then
leveraging this into acquisition of one of the world's largest
and purest Mica and Feldspathic Sand formations. Now it has
since pulled off the unimaginable, in acquiring very
economically an extremely valuable Gold property with proven
reserves of 2 Million ounces, with potentially enormous ongoing
upside discovery potential, given the immense 90 Square Mile
57,000 acre size, location and especially conducive geological
structure of the formation. Now, more recently, acquisition of a
rare Micaceous Iron Oxide MIO Deposit has already leveraged
assets to $3.3 Billion.
And, with
additional acquisitions apparently imminent, at a time when Gold
and Silver prices are surging, Azco could well be positioned for
hypergrowth. With an Exploration Acquisition and Production
agenda strong cashflows could develop in the very near future in
near record time for an emerging mining company and asset
acquisitions could add to all values, so that as Gold prices
continue to rise and with the recently updated project values by
Azco we are starting to see the possibility of earning as much
as $1 per share as no longer remote, but at $850 ~ $1,000 per
ounce increasingly likely...
Azco's stunningly
successful and potentially enormously valuable acquisition of
the Ortiz Land Grant, as one of the few remaining uniquely large
mining reserves in the United States, that covering such a large
area, it is a geologically highly prospective property
containing 2 Million Ounces of proven Gold reserves and also
holds potentially enormous additional exploration upside
including, Silver, Tungsten, Molybdenum and base metals such as
Nickel, Copper and Zinc and very real probabilities of
additional Gold in part already determined by 386,000 feet of
drilling outlined in over 1,500 drill sites.
With one of the
World's foremost explorationists at Azco, with not just a
proven, but enviable track record for creating wealth, Dr. W.
Pierce Carson has initiated a new and revitalized exploration,
acquisition and mining agenda for Azco.
His 35 year career
record for raw exploration around the world leading to many
significant discoveries and acquisitions, is quite unparalleled
in many respects, with 50 + discoveries and identifications: The
foremost explorationist of our era?
Dr. W. Pierce
Carson PhD in Economic and Structural Geology an MS in Ore
deposits from Stanford University and a Bachelors Degree in
Geology from Princeton. Accomplished international mining career
spanning 35 years with extensive experience in directing
exploration development and mining of base metals, precious
metals, industrial minerals projects.
Exploration and Mining
Career Highlights
Early in his
career, his geologic work with an exploratory task force at
Exxon Minerals on all five continents, Central and South
America, Asia, Europe and Africa led to major exploration
programs in Australia, Chile, Germany, Spain and Africa.
Responsible for all precious metals exploration activities in
the United States and Canada at Kennecott Copper Inc: A property
that he identified and recommended for acquisition was acquired
and developed by Kennecott, subsequently became a significant
Gold-Silver producer.
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Acquisition of
the Tabar Islands Gold property, in a joint venture with
Kennecott.
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Discovery of
the Kurara Gold Mine in Western Australia with subsequent
successful financing, development and operation of the mine.
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Discovery of
Emu South gold mine in Western Australia, joint venture of
the property to Western Mining and subsequent sale of
interest and $40 million distribution to limited partner
investors.
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Completion of
Ramu Nickel pre-feasibility study based on pressure acid
leaching.
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Acquisition of
the Girilambone copper property and design of the
technically innovative and highly successful SX-EW
processing system.
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Arrangement of
financing for Girilambone mine development through joint
venture participation and bank debt.
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Implementation
of hedging programs.
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Successful
operations of the Girilambone copper mine and the Kurara
Gold mine.
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Discovery of
Tritton Copper deposit using state-of-the-art geophysical
methods.
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Purchase of
Kennecott's interest in the Tabar Islands gold project.
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Acquisition of
the Johnson Camp Copper mine and Tritton Copper property in
the United States and Australia.
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Sale of Ramu
nickel project, Papua New Guinea and Sierra Rutile titanium
mine, Sierra Leone.
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Arrangement of
project debt financing of $42 Million for copper and other
mines.
Property Identification
Agreement Between Dr W Pierce Carson
And Azco Mining Inc Covering 24 Or More Potential Acquisitions
From his extensive
experience in the mining industry prior to his association with
the Company, Dr Carson has become aware of specific properties
that may represent attractive acquisition opportunities for Azco
Mining Inc and Azco has already acquired two of these, namely
the coveted and extremely valuable Ortiz Land Grant 2 Million
ounce Gold deposit and New Planet Micaceous Iron Oxide (MIO)
deposit. Over the span of his 35 year mining career, including
properties above, Dr Carson has discovered or identified as many
as 50 properties around the World considered economically viable
or with very high potential for mining success at some future
time and since Azco Mining Inc wishes to acquire high quality
exploration and mining properties as part of its objectives for
growth, as part of his employment contract, Dr Carson agreed to
make available to Azco a list of twenty-four (24) properties and
all the information he possesses in regards to these properties
and cooperate fully to facilitate detailed assessments and aid
with the acquisitions of same.
Acquisition of
properties is a laborious and time consuming process however in
spite of this, Azco has already succeeded in acquiring two
extremely valuable properties and disclosed negotiations on two
others are already in progress and may be well advanced. Given
that 24 properties may be attractive enough to acquire, it would
not be unreasonable to assume that up to 6 acquisitions per year
may be possible and thereby over the next 4 years build
strategic long term reserves up quickly in anticipation of
higher metals and mineral prices over time.
Azco's immediate
objectives are to bring its properties on line and into full
production as quickly as possible to satisfy the rapidly growing
demand for exotic minerals and increasing demand for Gold and
Silver driving today's price to 25 year highs and acquisition of
new assets.
Azco's Strategic Mission
"Through strategic
acquisitions using its experience and expertise in mining and
markets, Azco Mining's aim is to enhance shareholder value and
build a strong cash-flow driven resource company with
significant sustainable revenues annually, within the next
several years"
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In presenting a guidance on levels of projections
based on rising Gold prices:
Does not include 2nd Million ozs of Gold having
equal or greater value than 1M
Could Azco earn up to $1 pr share in due time?
Before you say No Read Below:
Consider the following most basic valuations for
Azco's 1M Ounces Ortiz Gold:
Net value of project at $500 per oz after all costs:
$180 Million or $2.25 per sh
Net value of project at $600 per oz after all costs:
$270 Million or $3.37 per sh
Net value of project at $600 per oz $100M Copper
$370 Million or $4.62 per sh
Net value of project at $500 per oz incl upgrades:
$360 Million or $4.50 per sh
Net value of project at $600 per oz incl upgrades:
$432 Million or $5.40 per sh
Net value of project at $600 incl upgrades and Cu
$532 Million or $6.65 per sh
Net value of project at $650 incl upgrades and Cu
$577 Million or $7.21 per sh
Net value of project at $700 incl upgrades and Cu
$644 Million or $8.05 per sh
Total Project Value at $600 per oz incl upgdCu
$1,064 Million or $13.30 per sh
Total Project Value at $650 per oz incl upgdCu
$1,154 Million or $14.42 per sh |
Total Project
Value includes 2nd Million ozs of Gold + $200M Copper potential
and since the 2nd Million Ozs has even higher grades in some
veins, it should equal value: Doubles original 1M oz $577
Million $7.21 per sh to $14.42 per sh
Now factor in
Azco's 24 targeted acquisitions, the next of which is indicated
to be a Gold and Silver property of significance: Viz 1 Million
ounces, but this one with near term production potential and
could effectively increase again, all of the above numbers
putting Azco's upside at current Gold prices $21.63 per sh
None of this includes enormous potential for upside exploration
and discovery of multi-million additional ounces of Gold and
Silver plus Copper Lead and Zinc
And these prices
do not include the massive in-ground reserves that the New
Planet and Black Canyon Deposits represent effectively valuing
AZMN at $50 ps: Including upcoming acquisition(s) should value
Azco between $3 and $4B
It should also be
borne in mind that Azco is an advanced exploration & mining
stage company with proven reserves and though inground and
non-producing as yet has enormous intrinsic value & monetizable
assets, as opposed to many other exploration entities with
unproven reserves that receive unconscionable valuations with
huge caps for what may never ever become producing mines.
That's why Azco is
currently considered extremely undervalued and versus its peers
should be trading at $5 plus at least today and potentially a
lot higher...
AZMN - Stunning New
Comparisons and Valuations
Recently revealed
compelling new valuations for Azco's Ortiz Reserve upgrade were
significantly underestimated in previous editions of this
report, as it now appears to potentially value the 1 Million Oz
reserve at almost double previous estimates of a net value of
$180 Million to almost $400 Million today with Gold prices
consolidating around $650. The impact of what Dr Carson
describes so aptly below as: "An improvement in grade of this
magnitude, would have a truly dramatic effect on the project's
already very attractive economics", now more effectively
translates to net annual revenues for 10 years at $65 Million.
Quoting from the
recent Azco press release: In reviewing the results Dr. Carson
stated, "As attractive as these economics are, we can see
significant additional upside in a number of areas. Importantly,
MAG's study concluded there is a strong possibility that the
gold grades and contained number of ounces have been
significantly understated. This conclusion is based on reports
by previous companies involved in the project and by an
independent review conducted by a firm that specializes in
resource estimation. That firm concluded that the actual grade
could be up to 30% higher. An improvement in grades of this
magnitude would have a truly dramatic effect on the project's
already very attractive economics". - More...
Now, factor in
this: Goldcorp's CEO Sees $800 Gold and $25 Silver by 2007 and
US Gold's McEwan $2000
At $1000 Azco's
Gold net would increase in value to around $805 Million AZMN
could earn $1 per sh
MORE AMAZING NEWS: A
GOLDEN BUYING BINGE
2005 December 22
Barrick Gold Buys Placer Dome for $10.4 B at a P/E of 123. 2006
Gold Rush Takeover Bonanza - Values Azco Mining Inc AZMN at sky
high levels renders AZMN as rich potential target due to extreme
undervaluedness: Feb 24 2006 Glamis Gold Ltd GLG Acquires
Western Silver WTZ for US$1 Billion
Feb 22 2006
Acquisition of DEZ - Values Desert Sun Mining at US$500 Million
With pre-feasibility estimates: Total Proven and Probable
reserves in all zones containing 1.51 Million ounces of Gold as
per Jan 26 2006 update by definition has to value Azco Ortiz
deposit with more than 2 Million contained ozs of Gold as being
at least as valuable not including recent 30% improvement in
grades therefore potentially valuing Azco at well in excess of
$8.00 per share, similar to other valuations arrived at below by
other independent means and does not take into account the
significant additional upside the Ortiz Gold deposit holds thus,
theoretically, DEZ valuation places AZMN at least $10, without
upgrades and could potentially value AZMN at $12.6 factoring in
any possible upgrades.
With estimated
output of 100,000 oz pa from Azco's Ortiz Deposit at current
Gold prices of $660 plus: Expected net annual earnings, would
equal $30.44 Million, not including 30% expected improvements in
grades, could boost net earnings to near $40.00 Million. At a
P/E Ratio of 123 would equal a per share price range for Azco of
between $53 and $70 with an industry mean of $45 +.
It's becoming
increasingly evident that Azco Mining is not only very extremely
undervalued it has a lot of catching up to do to reach a $21
mean from current
Obviously
additional acquisitions Azco is negotiating could explode
estimates, not including recent revelation of Azco's
hidden assets of near $50 per share.
As 2006 Dawns... Is the
World really running out of Gold ?
With 2005 Gold
production reportedly at its lowest production levels in almost
a Century: The evidence is highly compelling:
The deep and once
very gold-rich South African Mines are mined out - Some say
Australia is also tapped out - US remains prospective as a
growing annual demand to supply deficit estimated at 1,220 tons
cannot be sustained indefinitely by banks. According to the US
Geological Survey USGS, they anticipate only 50,000 tons of Gold
available for future recovery, another alarming statistic that
could soon inspire panic buying as we're consuming Gold at a
rate of 3,760 tpa, with just 13 years left!
Gold values have
been rising for 5 years in a row and since September 2005 have
been soaring, reflecting a variety of fears that include the
possibility that within 2 or 3 decades, the World could run out
of mineable Gold. The most precious of all metals that for
thousands of years has been the ultimate store of wealth and
legend of Gold rushes and mining bonanzas in times past as new
discoveries continued have continued to be made, may finally be
reaching finite limits of production and sustainable output. In
recent years sharply awakening revelations that demand for Gold
may already be outstripping supply by as much as 1,500 tons per
annum is a stunning dimensional statistic that in of itself, is
a truly alarming wake-up call as to the future availability of
Gold in a World where speculation, hoarding and profiteering,
now only just beginning, could run rampant... The almost
unbelievable possibility that the World could really run out of
mineable resources even within 20 or so years, places a huge
premium on any proven resource of One Million ounces or more,
let alone 2 ~ 5 Million ounces plus and so, with the latest
report last month that Azco Mining Inc's Ortiz Gold Deposit
contains 1 Million ounces ready to mine...
Valuing
Azco's Outstanding Feasibility - Ortiz Gold Project
Quick Valuation by savvy
accountant who was sought after by one of the richest families
in the US to account their fortune:
1. It looks to me
based on a quick valuation calculation that the gold component
of Azco Mining Inc
is worth $6.37 per share as follows:
2. Pre-Tax profit
after capital costs, operating costs, refining, royalties and
depreciation is estimated to be around $37 Million per year.
3. After-tax
profit (assuming a 40% corporate rate and no net operating loss)
estimated at $20.8 Million yr + $25 Million for tax losses.
As 2006 unfolds:
How many stocks can you genuinely identify as being 10 times
undervalued based on comparable proven in-ground values of major
mining companies. Just as Google rose against all odds because
it keeps on getting more valuable, so too Azco Mining AZMN keeps
adding value per recent press releases: Additional acquisitions
may be pending, so more value could yet be added... In fact
substantially more than a few acquisitions may be pending, as
the company just recently revealed it has targeted at least
twenty four (24) prospective properties, including the already
acquired Ortiz Land Grant that combined, may hold truly
staggering potential riches.
Of late there's
been a lot of speculation about the potential of Nevada's Cortez
trend as a potential major producer with US Gold boasting of
making a major land grab, adding to its Tonkin Springs property
with inferred Gold reserves of 1.4 Million ounces, seeking to
acquire four additional public companies that surround US Gold's
claim that comprises a significant area of the Cortez trend
calling it a major holding. The difference between US Gold's
inferred claim and Azco Mining's proven reserves might arguably
be the fact that Azco Mining has inherited one of the most
valuable remaining undeveloped mining leases in continental US.
The famed Ortiz Land Grant comprises 57,267 acres covering 90
square miles, in what easily could be described as the landmass
of a major that by some measures could be twice the size of the
Cortez trend and just a small part of which, the Carache and
Lucas Canyon deposits hold 2 Million ounces proven reserves of
Gold and the remaining areas are said to offer "Superb Upside
Exploration Potential." Former executives of Newmont Mining Inc,
retained to conduct a full scale comprehensive engineering,
feasibility study and evaluation report on the property, are
said to have described Azco's Ortiz Gold Fields as sensational
at $400 oz and at recent prices of $520 oz, almost beyond
spectacular... At $600 lost for words...
What does this
mean? It could mean the Ortiz region might become one of the
more promising prolific Gold producing regions of the 21st
Century. Just 40 years ago when copious amounts of Gold were
first discovered in Nevada: It was thought that while it might
produce Gold on an economic scale, few could have foreseen how
technology would enable the State of Nevada to become one of the
most prolific Gold producing regions of the World, catapulting
the United States into 2nd place as a World producer of Gold,
behind South Africa and overtaking Australia. Could the Cortez
trend could hold such promise too? Yes but the Ortiz trend could
also be an extension from Nevada:
30 yeas ago, the
Grasberg Gold-Copper deposit was first discovered in Indonesia.
The initial reserves were thought to contain One Million Ozs of
Gold and Seven Billion Pounds of Copper. Thirty years later,
Grasberg is now a true Global Superstructure Giant producing
three Million ounces of Gold and Billions of pounds of Copper
annually and like finding a veritable Iceberg of reserves
beneath the initial surface discovery at its near ground peak,
entire deposit base reserves have grown to 35 Million ounces of
Gold and 150 Billion pounds of Copper. The lesson of Grasberg is
prospectors who discovered this early insignificant find were
later shocked to have found the mother of all lodes.
In the same way as
Nevada's Carlin and Getchell trends... Could the Ortiz Gold
Fields contain a similar 'Iceberg' of underground Gold and
Silver? Could the Ortiz area become a Western Hemisphere
Infrastructure Giant capable of high Gold productions? Since the
property has already been reported as potentially rich for
underground mining, such probability cannot be ruled out and
when some of the World's most highly qualified and respected
Geologists have declared the entire 90 square mile deposit to
offer "Superb Upside Exploration Potential", in view of what
happened both in Nevada, where some of the same geology exists
in the Ortiz range and with The Grasberg Project, it might be
extremely foolhardy to summarily dismiss the high probability of
the existence of, at least several million additional ounces of
Gold...
And, since Azco
Mining management has already reported that they are in
negotiations to acquire additional drilled reserves of Gold, it
might be equally foolhardy to pass on the opportunity to invest
in what may become one of the most aggressive junior exploration
and progressive mining companies of our time, that, with an
estimated $3.2 Billion in gross in-ground proven reserves
already part of its growing portfolio, this may be one company
to own as possibly the cheapest way to buy into the current Gold
boom that could have major upside.
'The power of
the Base': It's been our good fortune to have recommended
numerous issues when and where few others have dared to tread.
Perhaps our most successful call and as possibly the only
analyst to publicly highlight and recommend Headwaters Inc NYSE:
HW, (formerly NASDAQ: HDWR) from the lows of 50 to 70 cents
range in December 1999, to its recent peak at $45 in July 2005
and now what has become the 2nd fastest growing company in the
US, having risen 95 fold or 9,500% off its lows, is a rare and
stunning call in any Wall Street history. In other words,
$10,000 invested in HW in December 1999, would have grown to
almost $1 Million in 5.7 years. At the time we recommended HDWR
- HW, our visibility was nothing like that of Azco Mining's is
today. That's why we see so much upside:
In the case of
Headwaters, apart from the in-ground asset values of $1 Billion
or so, it was hard to foresee how tremendously successful HW
would eventually become. In considerable contrast, Azco's
acquisition program adding to its already immense $3.2 Billion
gross in-dependently verified in-ground valuations, with hidden
assets of almost $40 per share, AZMN offers unusual visibility
for a bright future.
The share price
structure and subsequent rebound in Azco looks like a larger
version of what happened with HW portends major upside.
Latest valuation
update versus most comparable peers with no proven reserves,
but comparing inground estimated reserve ownership
Based on where US
Gold USGL is trading AZMN should be trading at $9.05 per share,
again with considerable additional premium for its Azco's proven
in-ground reserves and considerable upside potential of the 90
square mile highly prospective Ortiz Land Grant Reserve and:
Perhaps a better
way of illustrating AZMN's extreme undervaluedness, is to
compare it with Gold Giant Newmont Mining Inc NEM which,
according to one well known analyst, when buying NEM recently,
you were in actuality buying an ounce of Gold in-ground for
about $448, excluding the depreciation and amortization costs
etc. At today's valuation for AZMN, with everything else for
FREE: (Arguably worth an estimated $10 per share). For the Gold
component, you are paying $44 for each ounce in the ground:
Which stock would you rather own?
That values
AZMN's Gold component share price at $14.00 per share today,
without factoring in Azco's 15 ~ 30% lower production costs.
Versus the recent
soaring performance of Paramount Gold PGDP on a partial interest
in a 30 Million Ounce Silver 'prospect': Given the Mission
Statement below wherein Azco's management has declared its
intent to acquire only high quality proven reserves, one can
truly only imagine the impact any additional acquisitions (that
according to press reports are under negotiation), are likely to
have on AZMN...
Just taking into
account the 1.03 Million ounce open pit Carache and Lucas Canyon
deposits and utilizing a very conservative estimated market
capitalization using a P/E of 23, (the Yahoo average for gold
stocks) is estimated to be 254.88 mil, but that does not take
into account the potential 30% improvement in grades that would
raise the value to $532 Million plus not including significant
tax losses, would raise the share price value to $6.65 and still
does not take into account the valuation of Ortiz's additional 1
Million ounces of proven Gold that potentially would carry a
similar up to $6.65 valuation, with the possibility that it too
could be the subject of quite signficantly higher grades of
perhaps even greater than 30%, given there are already
significant previous indications of much higher vein grades
underground.
Ortiz Land Grant -
History and Folklore
In 1535, when
Alvar Cabeza de Vaca first traversed the Ortiz Mountains and
Santa Fe New Mexico, he reported seeing within the area: "Many
signs of gold, antimony, iron, copper, and other metals. The
area is also believed to be very rich in Manganese, Molybdenum,
Lead, Zinc, Uranium, Gas and even Oil. The Ortiz Mine has a
fascinating history. The mine itself has significant historical
importance to mining in New Mexico. In 1828 placer gold was
discovered in the Cerrillos area and has been regarded as the
first important gold found west of the Mississippi. Then in
1833, a Jose Francisco Ortiz discovered gold bearing quartz
veins at the site of various field explorations. Even one of the
most famous inventors and American icons of all time, Thomas
Edison knew of the Ortiz and is reputed to have mined it. Soon
after the Santa Rosalia grant was recorded with the Ortiz mine
as its center. Potential for major underground deposits clearly
exists.
That could put the
entire Ortiz value alone at up to $18.75 per share, without any
of the additional exploration upside expected factored in, but
that's not all, while the average P/E or 23.6 might be the norm
for now, in a World of soaring Gold that could be much higher
and in the case of Place Dome Gold PDG, currently under offer at
a premium price, the P/E ratio is close to 123, which would put
AZMN's share price on just the 1.03 Million at around $37 per
share and thus could potentially value the entire project at
more than $50 per sh. Azco recently revealed it has
independently verified hidden assets of approximately $3.3 B in
inground reserves, equal to nearly $50 per share.
The recent $300
Million acquisition alone of Azco's rare Micaceaous Iron Oxide
MIO deposit is worth about $5 per share currently, but in time
using similar valuation formulas above, could potentially make
it even more valuable than the 1.03 M Ortiz Gold deposit $1.5
Billion+.
And now finally
factoring in the World Class Mica and Feldspathic sand deposit,
already independently appraised at between $167 and $212 Million
and its potential to produce similar cash flows to the 1 Million
ounce Ortiz deposit at up to $60 Million per year, but with its
value added enhance Mica, could see potential revenues in excess
of $100 Million pa for this project with exceedingly high margin
values.
It's becoming
increasingly evident that Azco Mining Inc AZMN will be a lot
more than the sum of these parts as it acquires new properties.
It should also be borne in mind that if the average prices for
Gold over the next 10 years were to be as high as $750 ~ $1000,
then it could
potentially add anywhere from $250 Million on the low end to
$1.5 Billion net on the high end to its values. 2010 Future Gold
just hit $800+.
When indices or markets like Gold rise multiple years in a row,
they have a very strong tendency, to explode by as much as 100%
higher.
Throughout our lifetime the mantra has become, especially since
911: 'Expect the unexpected'. So: Expect the World to run out of
gold such as prognoses for Gold prices to rise to as high as
$3,704 by 2019 would still equal only half of the gain in gold
throughout the 1970's.
The most famous line In Sidney Sheldon's legendary novel and
mini-series: "Master of the Game" - "By their ineptitude, they
handed me a fortune": In a way can be re-defined as the Ortiz
Land Grant being handed to Azco Mining Inc's shareholders... Due
to a value oversight by some and a series of blunders by other
decision makers past: Following $40 Million plus expenditure on
Ortiz - They handed us a fortune:
At $1.5 Billion
value for Azco's Gold today without upgrades and $700 M net plus
at $1,000 oz would value AZMN in at near $30 per share.
Does all this make
Azco Mining Inc AZMN a likely takeover target? Most probably
today yes. Such undervaluedness is highly compelling,but imagine
if Azco management makes good on its intentions to acquire
additional properties, as disclosed in its recent press
releases?
Azco Mining Inc
already announced one additional new acquisition, already
conservatively valued more than $5 per share or $300 Million
based on a thirty year mine life at today's prices, but its
entire production life average if much higher could value the
MIO at $1 Billion plus and remember Azco's Mission Statement
that the company has not only continued to execute on, but has
continually delivered per dictum with two spectacular
acquisitions and the legendary Ortiz Land Grant that is turning
out to be a 57,267 acre deposit of awesome potential.
Conclusion: Sum of
Azco's parts could be well as high as $18.35 for Gold, $5 for
the Mica, Sand and $5 for the MIO = $28.35 per share And that's
without factoring in any of the potential additional high
quality Gold, Silver and Copper resources planned, as indicated
below in his since widely promulgated Mission Statement and
confident declaration upon assuming the CEO and Presidential
role at Azco back in the fall of 2003, but only recently has the
true significance of this statement really come to light, within
the release of a report by Azco.
Apparently, when
Dr. Carson began his tenure, he presented to the Board a list of
24 properties that he had personally researched and identified
has having excellent potential for exploration and development.
While most all of these are of course precious metal properties,
there are also some additional Mineral Iron and Copper deposits
Dr Carson considers as very attractive acquisition opportunities
for Azco.
Recalling Azco's
Mission Statement
"I intend to redirect the strategic
future of this company to include identification and acquisition
of high quality
Gold, Silver and Copper resources".
Dr. W. Pierce Carson
President and CEO
Azco Mining Inc
What can we now conclude from
this? Azco Mining Inc, has compelling future potential, to
become a mining conglomerate of significance and its agenda
going forward can be succinctly defined by the following three
all important words: Exploration Acquisitions and Production
Announcing
positive results for the Ortiz feasibility Dr Pierce Carson,
CEO, stated, "We are extremely pleased to be able to
announce outstanding results, especially at a time when current
gold prices, at a 25-year high, have created an exciting and
very positive climate for the Company and its future prospects.
MAG's study shows that at today's gold prices the Carache and
Lucas deposits, which contain over 1.0 Million ounces of gold,
would form the basis of a very attractive and economically
viable open cut mining operation. At a gold price of $500 per
ounce, the project would produce cash flow totaling $180.9
million over ten years, after payment of all costs."
At a gold price of
$600 per ounce net operating pre-tax cash flow after payment of
all costs has just recently increased to $270 million and with
the addition of the recoverable Copper valuations indicated
below, has effectively added some $450 Million in value to Azco
this year...
Carson said,
"In addition to gold, mineralized material in the Lucas
conceptual open pit contains approximately $100 million in
copper valued at current copper prices. The studies also will
assess the economics of recovering copper as well as gold from
the Lucas deposit. On the basis of present information, we are
optimistic that a high percentage of this copper will be
recoverable and could form a significant addition to the
project's cash flows".
That puts the combined value at $370 Million or
at $640 oz $407 Million or $5.07 per share. Apparently as
indicated below grade improvements of 30% or higher can have a
truly dramatic effect on the project's already very attractive
economics. In light of leverage higher grades afford, cash flows
as high as $530 Million may be possible, and much more with
higher Gold.
The in-depth Ortiz Feasibility Study was
conducted by Minerals Advisory Group - MAG is a well-known and
highly respected firm whose principals have a combined
experience of over 300 years in mining and related industries.
MAG specializes in providing technical and financial advisories,
appraisals, and merger and acquisition assistance to mining
companies, financial institutions and governments.
In reviewing the results Dr. Carson stated,
"As
attractive as these economics are, we can see significant
additional upside in a number of areas. Importantly, MAG's study
concluded there is a strong possibility that the gold grades and
contained number of ounces have been significantly understated.
This conclusion is based on reports by previous companies
involved in the project and by an independent review conducted
by a firm that specializes in resource estimation. That firm
concluded that the actual grade could be up to 30% higher. An
improvement in grade of this magnitude would have a truly
dramatic effect on the project's already very attractive
economics.
As the next step, Azco intends to further investigate the
additional upside of the Ortiz project, including the likelihood
of higher grades in the drilled resource and the potential to
further improve the project's economics by mining to a higher
cut-off grade. There also is very significant upside at Ortiz
related to possible extensions of the known Carache and Lucas
resources, and also related to other promising prospects and
exploration targets within the huge 90 square mile area under
our control."
In Summary
Some retrospective perceptions may be in order here to
understand that attaining these real valuation levels takes
time. Back in Dec 99 when Headwaters NASDAQ - HDWR and now NYSE
HW was first identified and highlighted for its undervaluedness
at $0.50 ~ $0.70 c per share, just as AZMN was recently,
Headwaters did not look like a bankable prospect - Its 10 K
looked so terrible you wouldn't have wanted to touch this one
with a barge pole and yet the value was there, as was a
brilliant CEO with a sterling record for turnarounds and
creating value. That value like Azco today was arguably well in
excess of $1 Billion extrapolating out Headwaters potential and
in just five and a half years, Headwaters would go on to soar
9,500% from its lows of 50 cents a stunning half decade gain by
any Wall St measure and today, HW has a Billion Dollar market
capitalization and revenues of 1 Billion and reportedly is now
the 2nd fastest growing company in the US.
Azco in comparison has many similarities to Headwaters,
especially in having similar sized gross in-ground reserves well
in excess of $1 Billion and a CEO with an astonishing record of
exploration successes and discoveries that could be without
historical equal. The rate at which Azco Mining Inc is adding
value to its mining portfolio is nothing short of breathtaking
and has to bode exceedingly well for its future.
Azco has a CEO that has started two major Gold producing mines
virtually from scratch to full production and eventual sale and
not too many people possess the capabilities to do that... So it
is gratifying to know that the Ortiz Project has a highly
coveted 1 Million Ounces that is essentially ready to start Gold
production at the rate of 100,000 ounces per year and as much as
83,000 ounces of Silver annually, Platinum and Copper also. This
could be worth as much as $55 ~ $40 Million net at current and
future Gold prices easily valuing AZMN at $10 per share just for
this property alone, at a conservative 20 times earnings, but at
current 65 times earnings average that would be $40.
The fact is, Azco Mining Inc is no longer a speculation, but a
business proposition. In the most conservative sense it is
fairly safe to say that at a net $532 Million valuation based on
the higher than expected grades indicated in MAG's definitive
Engineering Study Report, and not accounting for current Gold
prices ranging to nearly $660, with Gold prices already at $825
plus in outer months for long term future delivery, it is fairly
clear, that just based on the Ortiz 1 Million ounces alone and
not accounting for the 2nd Million ounce deposit or any of the
other assets, a realistic valuation for Azco's ready to mine
million ounce deposit could now be worth up to $532 Million at
current Gold values. Therefore, the entire 2 Million ounces,
along with increased grades equating to a 30% improvement, would
actually value Ortiz's known and proven reserves of Gold at well
over $1.064 Million or many times the current value of Azco.
This is not fantasy. This value is as real as Desert Sun Mining
such that any analyst, businessman or even another Gold company,
would have to recognize that buying Azco today, just as buying
Headwaters in December '99 could have equal or greater potential
to deliver HW type returns at HDWR growth rates. An obvious
no-brainer - It is bound to happen sooner or later as the value
is clearly there and if Gold prices soar, it'll simply happen
faster. Finally - Any fund manager worth his salt, knowing of Azco nine
months ago, should have been hell bent on trying to buy this
company, lock, stock and barrel. Another obvious no-brainer in
that judging by the fact that AZMN has already risen 2,100%
fully endorses this logic. But, let's say they only discovered
Azco 5 or 6 press releases ago, reading between the lines of the
increasing values and the real story behind Azco: A savvy fund
manager would have told his team to start buying and don't stop
until we own all we can as has been proven up.
We have been unequivocally bullish on Gold since the lows of
2005, and have been projecting values to $650 low range to $750
for 2006~7, and, we may also have been amongst the first in the
World to call for new all time record highs in Gold or its outer
months within one year:
We have been pounding the table on Gold in numerous special
reports, some of which have been re-published on prestige Gold
sites from around the World. And, if you think we've been
exaggerating about how high Gold prices could go, just look at
how far we've already come.
With Gold Breaking $700 Metals Accelerate in a Buying Frenzy
Gold prices soared again Tuesday May 09, in a stunning display
of strength, as it cruised through $700 in much the way we
thought it might, culminating in a near Limit Up move for the
first time in almost 26 years. Meanwhile, December 2010 Gold
potentially may have set the all time highest price for Gold
ever recorded, taking out the previous extreme record of $875
and closing at $888. And in doing so, delivered in record time
on our prediction of some weeks back that we would soon hit all
time record highs in Gold in the forward months and not too long
thereafter and most probably within a year set new all time
record highs above $875 in the current or spot month.
Top Ten Reasons why Gold prices will rise substantially higher
in due time
-
As we stated yesterday and on numerous previous occasions,
the sheer power of the trend in a multi-decade breakout is truly
stunning.
-
The alleged 10,000 ton short position in Gold, that must be
increasingly bankrupting its holders and may be behind the
latest big spike.
-
The growing Demand vs Supply deficit potentially already as
much as 1,500 tons per year is unsustainable and yet slated to
get worse.
-
The fact that the World really is running out of Gold. Many
of the big mines are in serious decline and there is only 12
years supply left.
-
The Triple scenario or troika of the US Trade Deficit, War
Deficit and Domestic Deficits all of which are unsustainable
threaten the dollar.
-
The Triple War Scenario A three front asymmetric war in
Afghanistan Iraq and possibly Iran with the prospect of a
destabilized Pakistan.
-
A preemptive strike by Iran on Israel or vice-versa could
send Gold prices soaring $100 overnight as could instability in
Pakistan or India.
-
Nuclear proliferation and the threat of Nuclear Terrorism,
domestic terrorism and the growing length of time since 911 bode
plus for Gold.
-
$800 Billion going on one Trillion in War and defense costs
and the prospect of fighting a three front war are really behind
Gold's soaring.
-
Degradation and decline of Global Currencies led by the
rapidly weakening Dollar and high Oil prices with massive
inflationary impacts.
The US Dollar has been precipitously weak while US Treasury
prices have been tumbling. This is a dangerous developing
scenario as it is what everyone has been fearing might happen
over the past 10 years or so and now it is finally happening.
What does this mean? It means that all the money from China,
Japan, the Middle East and Russia and all the other cash rich
nations of the World that have been pouring their money into US
Treasuries to take advantage of a strengthening Dollar, while it
worked for a while, with the double whammy of rising bond prices
and a rising dollar, has now reversed to reflect the dramatic
synchronization and combination of falling bond prices and the
US Dollar and this is being compounded by a mass exodus of funds
from the US, which is bound to impact, what has up until
recently been an economy awash with money and liquidity. Should
and if this becomes increasingly severe, it like the soaring
Gold, could be preempting another long term capital debacle of
sorts or some sort of potential financial meltdown, as
characteristically, when prices remain in a range for years as
in the case of Bonds or for decades as in the case of Gold and
Silver, traders and investors become accustomed to such flat
trends and develop sophisticated option models for profiting
from such activities, until they suddenly go badly wrong and get
caught in a big short squeeze, not unlike what is now going on
in Gold and Silver and on the downside in Bonds, what may be
killing global investors.
What also tends to happen in the kind of runaway bull market in
Gold as is now happening, is traders and investors short more
Gold and Silver all the way up, thinking they have 'picked the
top' of this now amazing run. Some $200 higher, since some
commentators said Gold would not hold over $500 for long, are
already out $200 and may be out of business if they haven't
covered. This is essentially exactly what happened in 1979 ~
1980, when many traders and investors called the top way too
early. This time, given the strength in Platinum which set new
all time record highs again yesterday and the fact that the
World is running out of Gold, we expect prices to remain firm
and trade in a new high range once the uptrend has exhausted
itself and we fully expect that consolidation will in time work
off recent excesses until such time as Gold and Silver are
poised for their next major run higher which we believe will be
towards $1,100 and $25 ~ $75 respectively.
Notwithstanding the fact that we have pulled back a little on
Gold this morning, Gold, Silver and many other markets often
have trouble in and around major milestone numbers such as $500,
$600 and $700 for Gold, so the possibility of an interim top in
Gold cannot logically be discounted, however should Gold in the
short to intermediate term surge higher, then it would be very
bullish indeed as in all likelihood, the Silver market would
also surge to new highs and should that happen, it might send
Silver prices to $18 plus or even past $20. One reason, why it
might be unwise to count Gold out too quickly, is, with the kind
of momentum behind this market, a 1980 type blowoff is
possible...
As we have stated on many an occasion: This is not your father's
Bull Market in Gold. This Greatest Bull Market Ever has only
just begun.
The World really is running out of Gold
A Compendium of Compelling Evidence
From renowned analyst Eric Hommelberg with inserts
In my piece 'Junior Festival 2006' which we would more liken to
the coming Junior Mining Bonanza, Part one focused on the
technical setup for the juniors in 2006. As explained the setup
is phenomenal and some very serious gains are in the pipeline
this year for those juniors succeeding in making discoveries.
Well, we didn't have to wait for that long before the festival
to start this year, since the gold price exploded on the very
first trading day of 2006 thereby launching gold shares
including even the majors into new highs. The HUI Amex Gold
Index clocked its single biggest day gain ever and has since set
new all time record highs, thereby leaving investors waiting for
a correction since early December in a mental state of sadness.
So after all, it's been a perfect start for the gold shares.
Besides the phenomenal technical setup, there are some
fundamentals in play which are extraordinarily bullish for the
best of these junior shares as well. Especially those juniors
making discoveries will be making headlines this year for sure.
Now why is that? What on earth makes these discoveries so
important? This report examines the need for new major
discoveries and what it can do to your bank-account.
As John Bridge - Senior Gold Analyst J P Morgan said...
If you are lucky enough to buy into an exploration company that
makes a discovery, you can effectively buy your own auto teller
machine.
Some of these things are just phenomenally profitable. Look what
happened to PGDP and what could happen to AZMN soon.
This report will furthermore focus on: Decline in gold
production only getting worse and the Majors are scrambling for
new gold reserves.
Junior exploration companies will become the primary source for
new gold reserves, therefore the smart money is pouring into
juniors
This could create an unprecedented bidding war for new proven
gold reserves that could be unimaginable at prorata PE Ratios of
100 +.
With production at its lowest levels in 90 years and South
Africa and Australia mined out, the Fundamentals for Gold have
never ever been more bullish than now: Just recently two high
profile gold industry leaders rang the alarm bells lately
regarding future mine supply:
DRDGold chief executive officer Mark Wellesley-Wood in the
company's latest investor newsletter November 2005:
Global gold production is set to decline dramatically over the
next four years and this is set to generate a scramble for gold
ounces.
Newmont President Pierre Lassonde: Bloomberg quoted him November
27, 2005:
The situation for Gold is becoming drastic "Worldwide gold
production last year had the largest decline in 39 years,
Lassonde said."
"The decline in output will continue "For at least another
couple of years, simply because the industry didn't put money
back into the ground when the gold price was very low," Lassonde
said" The same thing happened with Oil and Energy and look what
happened there.
We've seen South Africa's gold production literally falling of a
cliff last two years reaching an 80 year low recently. For many
years now smart people have been warning about the coming and
now current decline in Gold production: One of the strongest
warnings came from Barrick's Exploration VP Alex Davidson who
said in March 2003:
"Big mining companies need to spend more on exploration, or else
at current annual production rates, reserves will be depleted in
10 years, he said. It can take six to eight years between making
a discovery and starting mine production, and "we're not
currently funding exploration at a level required to replace
reserves." This totally endorses our groundbreaking theory: "The
World is running out of Gold"
The Majors are scrambling to find new gold reserves and boost
their holdings. PDG's acquisition at an estimated PE of 100 is
the proof.
You would think that higher gold prices would solve the issue
since more money would be spend on exploration then. Well,
although there's money heading towards the exploration sector
these days indeed it won't be of any help in the short term..
Why not? Because it takes years from exploration to production.
Barrick CEO Gregg Wilkins said: The average lead time for a
large discovery to go onstream with production was around five
to seven years, but that 7 to 10 years was probably more
realistic." "The industry isn't going to be able to respond
immediately to higher gold prices. It is going to take a long
time."
So there it is, the industry isn't going to be able to respond
immediately to higher gold prices. How come? Simple, during the
1997 - 2002 period exploration budgets were cut by 67% so the
mining industry is still relying on discoveries that were made
many years ago. Let's first take a peek at the major discoveries
being made over the last 25 years:
As you can see, just as with Oil where hardly any new major Oil
fields have been discovered, almost no world class Gold
discoveries have been made since the mid nineties and only a
very few large discoveries since the late nineties.
According to Newmont's president Pierre Lassonde it will take
another 18 - 24 months, before we will see new discoveries in
the five million ounce range...
But hey, the major producers are pulling each 4 - 7 millions of
gold out of the ground every year and no major discoveries are
expected in the short term, so tell me, how are they going to
replace those mined reserves?
Well, the answer is simple, they can't!
Industry consultant Ralph Bullis even fears that the large gold
producers won't even survive at current extraction rates over
the ... next Five to Ten years. His calculation is straight
forward, he says that the top 5 Gold producers are each pulling
each between 3.5 million and 7 million ounces out of the ground
every year. In order to keep up with the current production
rate, the miners need to replace their mined-out reserves
through aggressive exploration and new discoveries. But that's
exactly the problem. In order to replace 3.5 - 7 million ounces
of Gold each year, you'll have to find a major world class gold
deposit ( > 5 million ounce) each year which is highly unlikely.
Bullis refers to the U.S. Geological Survey's database of global
gold deposits and notice that of the 792 discoveries listed of
greater than 100,000 ounces, only 6 percent contained 5 million
ounces of gold or more.
Bullis goes on and says that even if a big discovery is made, it
can take anything between three and 10 years to permit a mine in
Canada and the United States, prospective areas where the major
miners are looking for gold. This is in line with earlier
comments from Piere Lassonde and Greg Wilkins who made it clear
that the Gold Industry isn't going to respond immediately to
higher Gold prices.
(Ralph Bullis was Exploration Director of Echo Bay Mines for
more than a decade and was a member of the Canadian Institute of
Mining committee, which helped set up guidelines on how to
estimate mineral resources and reserves)
Don't let yourself be fooled by analysts claiming that there's
no problem at all. They may well argue that there's still 30,000
tonnes of Gold left in the ground, so that gold producers can
produce for another 10 years at current production rates thereby
giving them plenty of time to explore for new reservesThey fail
however to recognize that most of the easy ore has been mined
already and that not all ore-reserves will be mined anyhow (last
remaining reserves become too difficult and too expensive to
mine). A good case in point was the Homestake Mine in South
Dakota, which was shut down with a large base of ore "reserves"
(millions of ounces) still on the books.
Juniors now the primary source of new gold reserves
So if the major companies won't be able to find new reserves in
time themselves, what to do then? Sure enough they have to turn
to the juniors since they are making 75% of all discoveries.
Please don't think those remarks are exaggerated, the majors
already showed an increased interest in juniors for more than
two years now:
Barrick opened an office in Vancouver in order to monitor Junior
companies. "Barrick Gold's New Office Tracks Junior Exploration
Cos."
"Barrick Gold Corp. (NYSE:ABX) has opened a Vancouver office to
monitor junior exploration projects, executive vice-president
Alex Davidson said at an exploration conference. Davidson said
two or three employees in the office are tracking junior
projects, and visiting managers of companies and their
exploration sites. The local office also handles Barrick's
exploration efforts around Eskay Creek, its 100%-owned gold mine
in northern B.C."
AngloGold CEO Bobby Godsell:
It is the end of big picture gold consolidation; there is no
compelling logic to combining larger companies anymore. The real
challenge now is how to replace your ounces for the future." The
race to replace ounces is about to begin. It will take the form
of takeovers of small producers with long reserve lives and high
quality junior mining companies with large in ground reserves
that can be mined economically.
A few months later these thoughts were echoed by Sam Jonah, the
company president : Where or who will AngloGold buy next ?
Sam Jonah, the company president says small Gold companies will
be the point of entry. "We will look at juniors that have
attractive assets in there portfolios and require our expertise
and capital to move these projects forward."
Gold Fields: Investing in juniors make sense
Ian Cockerill : "We invest in 10 juniors in the hope that one or
two of them come up trumps, and the value you get off the table
there will pay for the other eight that do not. But you are
spreading your exploration dollars, It increases your chance of
success."
"It has been a very successful program," Cockerill declared. He
estimated that Gold Fields invested $30 million to $40 million
in the junior exploration company process, converted $120
million in value, of which $40 million was harvested."
It seems that the interest in juniors slowly morphed into a
buying spree during last quarter 2005 that is now becoming a
buying stampede:
World's Largest Gold Producer to take Significant Position in
Miramar Mining Corp.
Miramar Mining Corporation is pleased to announce that it has
entered into an agreement (the "Subscription Agreement") with
Newmont Mining Corporation of Canada Limited ("Newmont") whereby
Newmont will purchase, on a private placement basis, 18.5
million units (the "Units") of Miramar at a price of $2.35 per
Unit for gross proceeds of $43.5 million.END.
Goldcorp takes 9.8 % stake in Wolfden
Goldcorp will spend about C$21 million ($17.9 million) to buy a
9.8 percent stake in the mineral exploration firm Wolfden.
Goldcorp became interested after a series of good drilling
results on the Bonanza Project in the Red Lake Mining District,
Ontario.
Goldcorp buys Virginia's Eleonore project
TORONTO, Dec 5 (Reuters) - Goldcorp Inc. GG (G.TO: Quote,
Profile, Research) will buy Virginia Gold Mines Inc.'s (VIA.TO:
Quote, Profile, Research) Eleonore gold project in Quebec in a
stock deal valued at about $420 million, the gold producer said
on Monday.
Newmont Mining raises stake in Gabriel Resources to 19% Newmont
Mining Corp., the world's largest gold miner, paid C$30 million
to raise its stake in Gabriel Resources, which is developing the
Rosia Montana gold project in Romania, to just under 19%.
The trend is obvious and the acquisition of Virginia's Eleonore
project proves beyond any doubt that juniors making discoveries
are paying off!. Before discovery Virginia traded around 1 CAD$
while currently trading at 11 CAD$. I'm confident you can do the
math yourself.
Smart money pouring into juniors
So if the major companies are going after the juniors why
wouldn't you as an investor do the same? You definitely wouldn't
be alone. One of world's most savvy gold industry insiders is
doing the same and he's not playing here with Mickey Mouse
money, he's investing millions in promising junior companies.
Yes, former Goldcorp CEO Rob McEwen is certainly in a buying
mood and seems to be quite unstoppable:
Rob McEwen Acquires 20 % Stake in Coral Gold.
Rob McEwen purchase up to 1,250,000 shares in Coral Gold
Resources Ltd., becomes a Director and Executive Chairman of the
Board
Coral Gold Resources Ltd. (the "Company") has arranged a
non-brokered private placement of up to 1,500,000 common shares
at a price of $3.00 per share. The placee for up to 1,250,000
shares is Mr. Robert R. McEwen and upon closing he will hold
just under 20% of the outstanding shares.
Rob McEwen Acquires 18.2% Stake in Nevada Pacific Gold
Friday December 9, 10:20 am ET
Nevada Pacific Gold Ltd. is pleased to announce that, subject to
regulatory approval, it has entered into an agreement with Mr.
Robert McEwen, of Toronto, Ontario to issue 12,500,000 Units at
a price of $0.40 per Unit for aggregate proceeds of $5.0
million.
Rob McEwen Acquires 33% stake in U.S. Gold'
Denver, Colorado, July 29, 2005 - U.S. Gold Corporation USGL is
pleased to announce that Rob McEwen has purchased by way of
private placement with the Company, 11.1 million shares for US$4
Million becoming the Company's largest shareholder with 33.3%
interest. It is planned that Mr. McEwen will be assuming roles
of Chairman and CEO shortly following the planned resignation of
current management.
Rob McEwen Acquires 10.5% Stake in White Knight Resources.
Robert R. McEwen has purchased 5,681,705 common shares of White
Knight Resources Ltd. by way of a private purchase from Goldcorp.
The purchase price was based on the higher of the current
trading price or the 10-day average trading price to June 28,
2005.
Mr. McEwen now owns 10.50 per cent of outstanding common shares
of White Knight. Shares were purchased for investment purposes.
Can you imagine what may be going on behind the scenes at Azco
Mining with CEO Dr W Pierce Carson's stellar record in the
mining industry and one of the most prolific and successful
explorationists of our time with a historical record almost with
out equal and on top of that the enormous upside potential the
Ortiz Gold deposit might hold...? After the puny assets of PGDP,
ECPN and even USGL none of which yet have proven reserves, AZMN
has more inground proven reserves than all 3 of these companies
combined worth $10 + per share.
Highlights and Summary
The industry is not replacing the reserves it is mining every
year - High grade mines are running out of ore. No new greater
supplies found.
Even if Gold were to soar past $1000 / oz , it is still going to
take four to seven years to open a mine. The Gold industry is
not going to be able to respond immediately to higher gold
prices. Reserves will likely be severely depleted in 10 years at
current annual production rates.
The industry desperately needs some major new discoveries right
now Since 99 only a very few world class gold deposits have been
found.
Newmont President Pierre Lassonde expects some new world class
gold discoveries (> 5 million ounces) in 18 months to two years
time.
Majors are being forced to acquire juniors because of the need
for more reserves. Juniors making discoveries are phenomenally
profitable.
So after reading all this you might be interested in buying some
junior shares as well. Juniors in a discovery phase were the
real winners in 2005. And they will probably amaze everybody in
2006. Azco Mining Inc AZMN may top the list as the largest
junior Gold gainer and that's not all... Due to an anomalic
trade in mid-2003, Azco Mining could make the Guinness records
as one of the all time gainers ever... With the recent
revelation that Azco Mining has hidden assets of $3.2 Billion
equating to over $40 per share this may be a stock for the ages.
If you think about it... What Rob McEwan has done is place some
heavy diversified bets around the traps. What W. Pierce Carson
has done, is to place a huge bet on what he knows best and where
he can exercise quality control and ensure a highly successful
outcome.
Source: Azco Mining Inc.
Press Release
Azco Mining Acquires $250 Million Summit Silver Gold Project in
NM Plans Immediate Production
Tuesday May 9, 09:28 am ET
Company Plans to Soon Begin Production at Steeple Rock Mining
District Site
GLENDALE, Ariz., May 9 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Azco Mining
Inc. (OTC Pink Sheets: AZMN - News), a U.S.-based mining and
exploration enterprise focused on gold, silver, copper and
industrial minerals, announced today that it has acquired the
Summit property, Grant County, southwestern New Mexico. The
Summit silver-gold property, which is approximately 117 acres of
patented and 600 acres of unpatented mining claims, contains
drilled silver and gold mineralized material and has a current
mining permit. The company also acquired a permitted site suitable for
processing activities located approximately 60 miles south of
the Summit property on 257 acres of patented mining claims near
Lordsburg, Hidalgo County, New Mexico. Azco further purchased a
ball mill and a 400-ton-per-day flotation plant. The total
transaction was valued at $1.3 million. The company plans to
complete an engineering plan for the Summit mineralized
material, erect the flotation plant at the Lordsburg processing
site and begin production in the near future.
CEO Dr. Pierce Carson said, "We are acquiring the Summit at a
time when silver and gold prices are at near-record levels and
appear to be heading higher. In the 1980s, drilling and other
work at the Summit that cost about $10 million resulted in
significant mineralized material with grades in the range of 8
to 10 ounces of silver per ton and 0.12 to 0.15 ounces of gold
per ton, which, at today's metal prices, represent an in-ground
value exceeding $250 million.
"Although we have not yet finalized engineering studies, we
believe that the Summit operation will be a profitable mining
proposition, on the basis of present estimates. The precious
metals may be mined from underground and marketed as a flotation
concentrate. The Summit has excellent upside exploration
potential. It is located in the Steeple Rock Mining District,
where there has been notable precious metals production in the
past.
"In addition, we expect that the establishment of a flotation
mill at Lordsburg will generate other mining and processing
opportunities from the surrounding mining districts, many of
which historically have yielded substantial production.
"We believe there are no significant obstacles to moving the
Summit project forward. We have the important permits in place
and have acquired most of the equipment necessary for
processing. We are carrying out final engineering studies. Based
on the results of those studies, we will be in a position to
release more details, such as projected capital, operating costs
and a schedule for production." The patented claims are subject to underlying royalties. The
company acquired the Summit property and related assets through
the purchase of all the stock of the Lordsburg Mining Company, a
New Mexico corporation, from Imagin Minerals, Inc., a privately
owned industrial minerals company. The purchase was completed
following consolidation of fragmented ownership of the assets,
which previously were held by several entities both related and
unrelated to the Lordsburg Mining Company. Azco Mining holds the
Lordsburg Mining Company as a wholly owned subsidiary. The
Summit acquisition is subject to a property identification
agreement between the company and its CEO.
About Azco Mining Inc.
Azco Mining is a U.S.-based mining and exploration company
focused on acquiring and developing gold, copper and industrial
mineral properties. The company owns mineral lease rights to the
Ortiz gold property in New Mexico, believed to contain 2 million
ounces of gold; a high-quality mica mine and processing facility
near Phoenix; and a world-class resource of micaceous iron oxide
(MIO) in La Paz County, Ariz. Azco intends to build a portfolio
of high- quality, diversified mineral assets with an emphasis on
precious metals. To learn more about Azco Mining Inc., visit
http://www.azco.com .
An investment profile about Azco Mining may be found at http://www.hawkassociates.com/azco/profile.htm
. For investor relations information regarding Azco Mining,
contact Frank Hawkins or Julie Marshall, Hawk Associates, at
(305) 451-1888, e-mail: info@hawkassociates.com . An online
investor kit including press releases, current price quotes,
stock charts and other valuable information for investors may be
found at http://www.hawkassociates.com and
http://www.americanmicrocaps.com
.
The information contained herein regarding risks and
uncertainties, which may differ materially from those set forth
in these statements, in addition to the economic, competitive,
governmental, technological and other factors, constitutes a
"forward-looking statement" within the meaning of Section 27A of
the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and is subject to the
safe harbors created thereby. While the company believes that
the assumptions underlying such forward-looking information are
reasonable, any of the assumptions could prove inaccurate and,
therefore, there can be no assurance that the forward-looking
information will prove to be accurate. Accordingly, there may be
differences between the actual results and the predicted
results, and actual results may be materially higher or lower
than those indicated in the forward-looking information
contained herein.
Press Release Source: Azco Mining Inc.
Azco Mining Provides Update on Ortiz 2M Ounce Gold Project Wednesday April 19, 9:13 am ET
GLENDALE, Ariz., April 19 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Azco Mining
Inc. (OTC Pink Sheets: AZMN - News ), a U.S.-based mining and
exploration enterprise focused on gold, silver, copper and
industrial minerals, provided today an update of the Ortiz
engineering and resource review underway by Mineral Advisory
Group, LLC (MAG) and Independent Mining Consultants, Inc. (IMC).
Azco CEO Dr. Pierce Carson said, "With gold prices now more than
$600 per ounce and at 26-year highs, we have received many
inquiries from shareholders and interested parties asking about
our progress at Ortiz and the latest project valuations. MAG's
original scoping study concluded that mining of an initial 1.0
million ounces of gold from the Carache and Lucas deposits would
yield very favorable economic returns. That study, the results
of which we announced December 13, 2005, also recognized
considerable upside potential in estimations of contained ounces
of gold and grades.
"Following the promising results from the original study, we
commissioned MAG and IMC to carry out additional work aimed at
further optimizing the project's already attractive economics.
We believe these studies are likely to result in an increase in
the total number of ounces contained in the new conceptual pits,
an increase in the average grade processed and a decrease in the
operating cost per ounce of gold produced. We anticipate
completion of these studies in June 2006 and will release the
results as soon as we receive them."
With respect to project valuation, MAG's original financial
model showed production of 925,036 ounces of gold over 10 years
at an average estimated operating cost of $230 per ounce of gold
recovered. The capital cost was estimated at $38.2 million. At a
gold price of $500 per ounce, net operating pre-tax cash flow
would total $180.9 million. At a gold price of $600 per ounce,
net operating pre-tax cash flow after payment of all costs would
increase to $270 million.
Carson said, "In addition to gold, mineralized material in the
Lucas conceptual open pit contains approximately $100 million in
copper valued at current copper prices. The studies also will
assess the economics of recovering copper as well as gold from
the Lucas deposit. On the basis of present information, we are
optimistic that a high percentage of this copper will be
recoverable and could form a significant addition to the
project's cash flows.
"All of these factors, including the current higher gold and
copper prices and the excellent potential for work underway to
increase the ounces of contained gold in the conceptual open
pits and to decrease operating cost per ounce of gold recovered,
contribute to a substantially increased valuation of the Ortiz
project.
"In addition to Ortiz, Azco continues to evaluate other precious
metals acquisition opportunities. We continue to look for new
ways to accelerate our acquisition agenda, with a goal of
further increasing the company's precious metals resources. We
are making significant progress in that regard.
"We recently completed $2.5 million in financing under favorable
terms with supportive institutions, which improved our financial
position to advance the Ortiz gold project and pursue other
acquisition opportunities.
"Azco's auditors are completing the final work necessary to
bring our financial filings into full compliance. We expect to
regain currency in May 2006 then immediately apply to resume
trading of Azco's stock on the OTC Bulletin Board.
"I continue to believe the next several months will be an
exciting time in the precious metals sector and for Azco as we
build our precious metals asset base and focus on a production
profile. Thank you for your patience, trust and support," Carson
said.
About Azco Mining Inc
Azco Mining is a U.S.-based mining and exploration company
focused on acquiring and developing gold, copper and industrial
mineral properties. The company owns mineral lease rights to the
Ortiz gold property in New Mexico, believed to contain 2 million
ounces of gold; a high-quality mica mine and processing facility
near Phoenix; and a world-class resource of micaceous iron oxide
(MIO) in La Paz County, Ariz. Azco intends to build a portfolio
of high- quality, diversified mineral assets with an emphasis on
precious metals.
To learn more about Azco Mining Inc., visit
http://www.azco.com . An investment profile about Azco Mining may be found at http://www.hawkassociates.com/azco/profile.htm
. For investor relations information regarding Azco Mining,
contact Frank Hawkins or Julie Marshall, Hawk Associates, at
(305) 451-1888, e-mail: info@hawkassociates.com . An online
investor kit including press releases, current price quotes,
stock charts and other valuable information for investors may be
found at http://www.hawkassociates.com and
http://www.americanmicrocaps.com
.
The information contained herein regarding risks and
uncertainties, which may differ materially from those set forth
in these statements, in addition to the economic, competitive,
governmental, technological and other factors, constitutes a
"forward-looking statement" within the meaning of Section 27A of
the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and is subject to the
safe harbors created thereby. While the company believes that
the assumptions underlying such forward-looking information are
reasonable, any of the assumptions could prove inaccurate and,
therefore, there can be no assurance that the forward-looking
information will prove to be accurate. Accordingly, there may be
differences between the actual results and the predicted
results, and actual results may be materially higher or lower
than those indicated in the forward-looking information
contained herein. Source: Azco Mining Inc. About Azco Mining Inc
Azco Mining Inc. is a U.S.-based mining and exploration
enterprise with an emphasis on gold, silver, copper and
industrial minerals. In 2004 the Company acquired mineral rights
to approximately 90 square miles of mineral estate at the Ortiz
gold property in New Mexico, where pre-1990 exploration and
development work costing $40 million identified 2 million ounces
of gold. Azco also owns and operates the Black Canyon mica
deposit in Arizona, which contains a large resource of mica and
by-product feldspathic sand. Recently the Company also acquired
lease and purchase rights to a world-class deposit of micaceous
iron oxide in Arizona, which constitutes a rare domestic source
of this material used in coatings to protect structural
steelwork against corrosion.
The information contained herein regarding risks and
uncertainties, which may differ materially from those set forth
in these statements, in addition to the economic, competitive,
governmental, technological and other factors, constitutes a
"forward-looking statement" within the meaning of Section 27A of
the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and is subject to the
safe harbors created thereby. While the company believes that
the assumptions underlying such forward-looking information are
reasonable, any of the assumptions could prove inaccurate and,
therefore, there can be no assurance that the forward-looking
information will prove to be accurate. Accordingly, there may be
differences between the actual results and the predicted
results, and actual results may be materially higher or lower
than those indicated in the forward-looking information
contained herein. The valuations are opinions based on proven
in-ground reserves of Gold.
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