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Thursday
Sep202012

Soybeans, Triple Witching And Trading The Range

(QQQ)(DIA)(SPY)(GLD)(FB)

Soybeans have offered CFRN Traders the most generous opportunities this week as the S&P 500 has remained inside a 10 Point Range thus far marked both on the top and bottom by our Weekly Trading Zones. With Triple Witching on deck perhaps the broader markets will show us increased volatility.

 

Soybeans

As we wrote on Monday, Soybeans have offered some very dynamic opportunities of late. Our first Soybean Alert of the week went out Sunday night on the Globex session. The call which was to be short below 17.03 triggered Monday the 17th. By early Tuesday morning prices dropped 72 cents to 16.30.

 

November SoybeansNovember Soybeans (ZSX2)

 

Today the Soybean market handed us another extraordinary opportunity. The alert went out to be short below 16.45

 

The trade triggered within the hour and proceeded to drop 25 cents in the next hour and a total of 29 cents over the following 3 hours.

 

November Soybeans (ZSX2)

 

CFRN Partners have been alerted to take some or all profits even though we believe there is potential for further decline down to 16.00. For those who still have a partial position on, be vigilant with your stops. Combined, the two Soybean trades this week created a profit opportunity of $1.01 which is equivalent to a 101 point move in the S&P 500 Emini Futures.

 

Triple Witching

Tomorrow is Triple Witching Day which might sound a bit scary but I assure you it's not. It could possibly create some much needed volatility so by all means if a black cat crosses your path don't step on its tail. For more detail on exactly what Triple Witching is all about, read this article from our archives written back in December of 2010.

 

S&P 500 Emini Futures

This has been a historically bleak week in both the Dow and the S&P Futures. On August 19th we wrote an article about the tightest range in 60 years. It looks as though we could set a new record this week of a slightly different sort.

Each Monday before the markets open CFRN Partners are issued their Weekly Trading Zones. There are multiple zones each week and you can view over 700 of our charts by clicking the CFRN Charts button on the toolbar at the bottom of this page. So far this week, price has played a game of ping pong inside just one Weekly Zone. Price has strayed above and below for a few ticks but as you can see on the chart below, not by much.

 

(click to view)

 

If Triple Witching fails to bring volatility and we close the week between the upper and lower zones on this chart, it will be the first time that has happened since we began publishing them. While the quiet movement has given us some time to think, we much prefer an active market. With that said, we are reminded of the elegant nature of the Weekly Zones. Like silent sentinels they have simply stood their post this week doing a fine job of what Weekly Trading Zones are supposed to do.

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We can complain about the 1% or the 47%. We can blame the President, Congress, the list is endless. Or we can take a different approach. We can be grateful. We can choose to stop living in fear of what the government might take from us if we were actually bold enough to get up off our opinion and do something other than complain.

 “For God hath not given us the spirit of fear;
but of power, and of love, and of a sound mind.”
2 Timothy 1:7

But sadly most of us won't. Why? The obvious reason - We have TOO MUCH to lose. As long as we sit apathetically on the sidelines, THEY win.

Whoever your THEY is... they win.

The way I see it, I came into this world with nothing and that's how I'm going out. I will take only 1 thing with me when I go - How I Invested My Life. Those are the gladrags I will wear for eternity.

I invite you to join me. Join me in believing that it all belongs to God. Join me in making a commitment to be a good steward for Him. Join me in living a life of freedom no matter what the cost. The one I serve has unlimited resources. He can topple Presidents and Tin Pot Dictators with a glance. His love endures forever; his faithfulness unto all generations.

 

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Emini Podcast for Thursday 09/20/12

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